There is a slick free Windows program from NBC (thanks frankarr) to be able to download and make your own predictions about how each state’s electoral votes will go. It outputs an XML file which you could share with others. The way I have it scored as far as locked — or close to locked — states:   Obama 252 vs. McCain 212 Looking at this map, you can see I can’t call five states: Florida, Ohio, Indiana, Iowa and Colarado. How could McCain win I didn’t think McCain had much of a chance until I marked off the states in the map above. For John McCain to win, he needs to take every state marked red on this map as well as the following state(s):

Florida, Ohio and Indiana (exactly 270) Florida, Ohio, Iowa and Colarado (275)

Obama 268 vs. McCain 270 How could Obama win As you might expect from the various polling and new reports, Obama has more ways to win the election. Since he only needs 18 electoral votes with my map above he can do it by any of the following state(s):

Florida by itself … or Ohio by itself (272) … or Indiana and Iowa (exactly 270) … or Indiana and Colarado (272)

If you think this election if over, it’s not. Odds are in Obama’s favor, but I’ll be following to see if he takes the states I have predicted to be in his favor. Let me know how your predictions for each state turn out.

November 3 2008, 10:47am | Original Link »

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